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World Cup Picks
The most popular game in the world is now upon us. Not only do billions of football fans prepare for the tournament, they also play in it. Bookies expect this year’s World Cup to be the biggest betting event of the year. Of course, we plan to participate. Here’s a rundown of our best bets for each World Cup team:
Group A (Germany, Poland, Ecuador, Costa Rica)
Ecuador Finished Second (+330)
Assuming Germany wins the group easily, the second qualifying spot will be up for grabs. Many think that Poland will take second place, but it is not as straightforward as it seems. Poland lacked depth and were unimpressive in qualifying. As the third best team in South America, don’t underestimate Ecuador’s potential here. The second place is to convert money between Poland and Ecuador, so jump on the price tag for Ecuadoreans at +330
Group B (England, Sweden, Paraguay, Trinidad & Tobago)
Sweden Will Qualify (-250)
Sweden was the most successful team in Europe in World Cup qualifying, averaging 3 gpg. Their defense isn’t spectacular, but they aren’t terrible, and they have a very high score. To make the next round, Sweden just needs to get past Paraguay. A defeat to England and an easy win over minnows Trinidad will be enough for them. But the Swedes can also beat England, and they can surprise with the first place.
Group C (Argentina, Holland, Ivory Coast, Serbia & Montenegro)
Serbia and Montenegro Qualification (+225)
The Serbs had the best defense of any winning team. They are a strong, well organized side and they are dangerous against them. Expect them to upset the likes of Holland and Argentina and get a surprise result.
Group D (Portugal, Mexico, Iran, Angola)
Top scorer Jared Borgetti (+650)
Iran and Angola could be the whipping boys of the group, and when that happens there is the chance of another explosive game. Mexican striker Jared Borgetti has a natural instinct for scoring goals, and the Mexicans playing in free-flowing play could have a number of chances. They really deserve a punt at this price.
Group E (Italy, Czech Republic, USA, Ghana)
Italy Finish Bottom (16/1)
Italy could be a surprise in this tournament, just like France was in the 2002 World Cup. The Italians have a squad full of veterans who have come through before. With the current Serie A betting close to an end, the team will be spoiled by the competition. We know how many times the Italians pull the trigger on international competitions. To finish at the bottom, they could draw against the USA and Ghana and lose to the Czechs. This is not a far fetched result, and is worth a shot at 16/1.
Group F (Brazil, Croatia, Japan, Australia)
Japan to Finish Down (+110)
Brazil and Croatia should finish in the top two places, so the third place will be a battle between Japan and Australia. With the Aussies coached by one of the best coaches in the world, Guus Hiddink, they have a natural advantage. Japan have trouble in the final and should find this group frustrating.
Group G (France, Switzerland, South Korea, Togo)
Switzerland Qualification (-150)
This should be a very strong decision in the group stages. Togo are a hopeless side and are happy to stay here. South Korea is a shadow of the team they had four years ago. Without a home advantage, they will look like a centerpiece. Although France has an aging squad that is not guaranteed to make the first place. The Swiss are a good side that can reach the finals of the tournament.
Group H (Spain, Ukraine, Tunisia, Saudi Arabia)
Total Team Goals Under 17.5 (-143)
The bookies think that Saudi Arabia will be in their usual form and score four or five goals per game. It doesn’t have to be like that this time. The Saudis have hired a Brazilian coach and are focusing on defense. This will be due to some of their performances, but even they have conceded few goals in this competition. Tunisia rarely participate in high-scoring games, and both Ukraine and Spain are underachieving. This line assumes there will be 2.91 goals per game, which is a tough ask.
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